Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	YouTube


	Las Vegas Lights		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.45	3.5	2.6
	2.4	3.6	2.75
	2.4	3.53	2.75
	2.3	3.6	2.5
	2.38	3.54	2.62	Watch
	2.42	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.86)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	2.61 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
38.6%

Draw
26.1%

Memphis 901
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.6%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Vegas Lights's performance.

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memphis 901 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Vegas Lights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memphis 901 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Las Vegas Lights - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ammeter N. (G) 20. Smart S. 22. Hafferty J. 24. Howell M. 33. Nigro G. 35. Fortune D. 26. Ngando J. 8. Gannon C. 14. Asante S. 27. Noel V. 10. Azcona E.	1. Deric T. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C. 91. Cissoko A. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. 6. Duncan Z. 4. Hyndman E. 9. Nascimento L. 10. Lapa B. 23. Paul L. 11. Marlon
Substitutes
6. Adams C. 56. Arozarena R. (G) 90. Bennett K. 4. Garcia F. 79. Gue A. 23. Klimenta E. 11. Pinzon C. 77. Romero A. 3. Sargis H.	77. Borczak D. 5. Careaga S. 19. Jimenez O. 7. Meza N. 20. Pickering N. 26. Seeger A. (G) 2. Tulu
Coaches
Sanchez D.	Glass S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Lapa B. ⚽, Duncan Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fortune D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
54', Adams C. 🟨,
62', Hyndman E. 🟨,
64', Paul L. 🟨,
65', Gannon C. ↓, Klimenta E. ↑,
65', Ngando J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
65', Asante S. ↓, Pinzon C. ↑,
69', Nascimento L. ↓, Tulu ↑,
69', Hyndman E. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
72', Bennett K. 🟨,
72', Careaga S. 🟨,
74', Howell M. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Bennett K. (Pen),
82', Paul L. ↓, Borczak D. ↑,
83', Azcona E. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', Lapa B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Memphis have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
18.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:3 ✺
14.06.24	Loudoun United - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Miami	3:1 ✺
01.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWTL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
15.06.24	Memphis 901 - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
12.06.24	Memphis 901 - Rhode Island	2:2 ✺
08.06.24	Memphis 901 - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	San Antonio - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Memphis 901 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.03.24	Memphis 901 - Las Vegas Lights	2:1
15.04.23	Memphis 901 - Las Vegas Lights	2:2
26.03.22	Las Vegas Lights - Memphis 901	0:1

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