Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Latina		Campobasso

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.65
	2.65	2.8	2.65
	2.5	2.9	2.65
	2.74	2.8	2.71
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.62	3.18	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.3)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	2.69 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
35.1%

Draw
31.1%

Campobasso
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

22.6%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Latina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campobasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Latina - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 13).

Latina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Campobasso is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Campobasso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
07.11.21	Virtus Francavilla - Latina	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Latina - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Potenza - Latina	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Latina - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Vibonese - Latina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group C
06.11.21	Campobasso - Catania	4:4 ✺
31.10.21	ACR Messina - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Campobasso - Picerno	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Turris - Campobasso	2:3 ✺
17.10.21	Campobasso - Bari	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLTWL

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