Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	ACR Messina		Campobasso

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3.15	3.25
	2.06	3.25	3.1
	2.09	3.24	3.44
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.05	3.4	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
44.4%

Draw
28.2%

Campobasso
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

20.2%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACR Messina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campobasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ACR Messina - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 13).

ACR Messina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Campobasso is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ACR Messina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
24.10.21	Juve Stabia - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
20.10.21	ACR Messina - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
17.10.21	Potenza - ACR Messina	2:3 ✺
09.10.21	ACR Messina - Nuova Monterosi	1:3 ✺
03.10.21	Foggia - ACR Messina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group C
24.10.21	Campobasso - Picerno	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Turris - Campobasso	2:3 ✺
17.10.21	Campobasso - Bari	1:3 ✺
10.10.21	Monopoli - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	Campobasso - Paganese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWLWW

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