Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 3

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Latina		Picerno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3	2.2
	3.25	2.98	2.25
	3.35	2.99	2.31
	2.42	3.02	3.03	Watch
	3.17	2.95	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.29)	2.99 ↓ (2.99)	2.41 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
30.6%

Draw
31%

Picerno
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

30.6%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

26.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Latina - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 13. Marenco F. 6. Calabrese B. 32. Parodi G. 2. Ercolano E. 21. Hergheligiu D. 30. De Ciancio R. 3. Porro M. 10. Riccardi A. 77. Pannitteri O. 99. Parigi G.	1. Summa E. (G) 5. Veltri A. 4. Frison F. 23. Granata A. 63. Pistolesi F. 30. Bianchi S. 34. Maselli S. 7. Energe A. 99. Pugliese S. 11. Esposito E. 90. Abreu L.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 8. Ciko S. 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 18. Dutu E. 7. Ekuban J. 23. Farneti G. 20. Fasan N. 22. Iosa A. (G) 11. Pace F. 5. Pellitteri A. 80. Quieto D. 28. Regonesi I. 4. Scravaglieri M.	33. Bocic M. 77. Cardoni K. 22. Cortese S. (G) 25. Djibril M. 16. Esposito A. (G) 10. Maiorino P. 6. Marino A. 2. Perri M. 70. Petito F. 21. Salvo G. 19. Santaniello E. 9. Santarcangelo A. 14. Vimercati A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Abreu L. ⚽,
38', Calabrese B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Riccardi A. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
58', Pannitteri O. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
61', Porro M. ↓, Pace F. ↑,
63', Granata A. 🟨,
66', Energe A. ↓, Petito F. ↑,
66', Esposito E. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Parigi G. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
79', Pistolesi F. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
80', Pace F. 🟨,
81', Maselli S. 🟨,
82', De Ciancio R. ↓, Ciko S. ↑,
82', Parigi G. ↓, Ekuban J. ↑,
85', Abreu L. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
85', Bianchi S. ↓, Marino A. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Santarcangelo A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latina won 3.

Latina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Picerno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Latina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Latina has had a series of home games.

Picerno could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Latina won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Latina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.08.25	Trapani - Latina	6:0 ✺
24.08.25	Latina - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Latina - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Latina - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
04.08.25	Latina - L Aquila	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTW
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
31.08.25	Picerno - Giugliano	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Picerno - Trapani	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Bari - Picerno	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Avellino - Picerno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
12.04.25	Picerno - Latina	1:2
30.11.24	Latina - Picerno	2:0
23.03.24	Picerno - Latina	0:2
18.11.23	Latina - Picerno	0:3
19.02.23	Picerno - Latina	1:0
18.10.22	Latina - Picerno	1:0
15.02.22	Picerno - Latina	0:2

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