Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Picerno		Trapani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.89	3.5	4.29
	1.8	3.49	4.09	Watch
	1.8	3.1	3.9
	1.8	3.3	4.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.39)	3.35 ↓ (3.82)	4.1 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
50.3%

Draw
27.4%

Trapani
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

23.8%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

14.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Picerno's form might have worsened.

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trapani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Picerno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Picerno - Trapani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Marcone R. (G) 21. Salvo G. 3. Bellodi G. 26. Bassoli A. 97. Rillo F. 27. Baldassin L. 44. Franco D. 99. Pugliese S. 11. Esposito E. (C) 90. Abreu L. 93. Kanoute M.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 27. Cozzoli F. 5. Vimercati A. 31. Pirrello R. 7. Ortisi P. 4. Nina C. 8. Celeghin E. (C) 99. Balla B. 70. Forte R. 92. Winkelmann T. 14. Battimelli G.
Substitutes
30. Bianchi S. 33. Bocic M. 77. Cardoni K. 9. Coppola G. 29. Del Fabro D. 25. Djibril M. 12. Esposito A. (G) 10. Maiorino P. 6. Marino A. 63. Pistolesi F. 1. Summa E. (G)	20. Aronica G. 33. Benedetti A. 80. Knezovic B. 17. La Sorsa C. 74. Marcolini D. 18. Matos 2. Morelli G. 23. Motoc A. 30. Nicoli S. 22. Salamone S. (G) 77. Stauciuc B. 1. Ujkaj E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Pugliese S. ⚽,
17', Nina C. 🟨,
35', Esposito E. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Winkelmann T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kanoute M. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
46', Nina C. ↓, Aronica G. ↑,
58', Bellodi G. 🟨,
58', Aronica G. 🟨,
59', Ortisi P. 🟨,
67', Abreu L. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
67', Forte R. ↓, Benedetti A. ↑,
68', Battimelli G. ↓, Stauciuc B. ↑,
70', Esposito E. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
81', Vimercati A. 🟨,
81', Franco D. ↓, Bianchi S. ↑,
83', Winkelmann T. ↓, Matos ↑,
84', Baldassin L. 🟨,
90+1', Bianchi S. 🟨,
90+2', Pugliese S. 🟨,
90+7', Vapore A. ↓, Marcolini D. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent performances by Picerno have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trapani is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Picerno is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Picerno	8	4	0	4	16:15	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.26	Cavese - Picerno	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Picerno - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Picerno - Altamura	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Casertana - Picerno	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Picerno - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTLW
- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.26	Trapani - Crotone	1:4 ✺
05.03.26	Audace Cerignola - Trapani	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Trapani - Atalanta U23	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Trapani - Cavese	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Catania - Trapani	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.11.25	Trapani - Picerno	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Picerno - Trapani	1:2 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
06.01.25	Picerno - Trapani	0:0
01.09.24	Trapani - Picerno	0:3

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