Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group G - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Latte Dolce		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.55	3.1	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.55)	3.1 ↓ (3.35)	2.53 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latte Dolce
35.6%

Draw
29%

Ostia Mare
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latte Dolce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latte Dolce than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Grassi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Sorgente S. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Latte Dolce won 1.

Latte Dolce is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Latte Dolce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Latte Dolce won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Latte Dolce won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Latte Dolce
Italian Serie D - Group G
07.04.24	Trastevere - Latte Dolce	1:1 ✺
28.03.24	Latte Dolce - Gladiator	1:3 ✺
24.03.24	Atletico Uri - Latte Dolce	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Latte Dolce - Ischia Isolaverde	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Latte Dolce - Romana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
28.03.24	Cassino - Ostia Mare	2:3 ✺
24.03.24	Ostia Mare - Boreale	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	San Marzano - Ostia Mare	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ostia Mare - Budoni	5:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cavese - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
03.12.23	Ostia Mare - Latte Dolce	3:1
24.04.22	Ostia Mare - Latte Dolce	1:1
08.12.21	Latte Dolce - Ostia Mare	0:1
16.11.19	Latte Dolce - Ostia Mare	0:1
16.12.18	Ostia Mare - Latte Dolce	0:1
11.02.18	Ostia Mare - Latte Dolce	2:3
08.01.17	Latte Dolce - Ostia Mare	1:1

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