Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	San Marzano		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.63	2.96	2.58
	2.63	2.96	2.58
	2.66	2.98	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.34)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.55 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marzano
34.2%

Draw
30.4%

Ostia Mare
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

30.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

31.1%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marzano's performance.

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ostia Mare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marzano than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marzano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ostia Mare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+7', Ferrari N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', Camara F. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ostia Mare will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marzano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
10.03.24	Trastevere - San Marzano	0:0 ✺
06.03.24	Atletico Uri - San Marzano	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	San Marzano - Gladiator	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	San Marzano - Ischia Isolaverde	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	San Marzano - Latte Dolce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTLW
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
10.03.24	Ostia Mare - Budoni	5:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cavese - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ostia Mare - Nuova Florida	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWTL

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