The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Latte Dolce 40.7%
Draw 27%
Trastevere 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
24.9%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
27%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Latte Dolce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Trastevere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latte Dolce than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Latte Dolce - Trastevere Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lorusso D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latte Dolce won 0.
Latte Dolce has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Trastevere is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Latte Dolce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Latte Dolce has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Latte Dolce won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Latte Dolce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).