The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trastevere 45.8%
Draw 27.4%
Sarrabus Ogliastra 26.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.3%
28.7%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
25.9%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trastevere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Sarrabus Ogliastra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Trastevere - Sarrabus Ogliastra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Crescenzo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 🟥,
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
79', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 15th in the Serie D - Group G (Play Out: )).
Trastevere has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sarrabus Ogliastra is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Trastevere holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Trastevere has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Trastevere against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 2.3:2 per game).
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