The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lazio 37.8%
Draw 27.4%
Como 34.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.1%
26.6%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
27.6%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.
Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lazio - Como Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mukasa A. (G) 4. Consolini L. 7. Connolly M. 22. Zannini C. 27. Monnecchi M. 16. Castiello A. (C) 8. Martin E. 19. Sciabica M. 14. Zanoli M. 99. Visentin N. 92. Ngueleu N.
22. Gilardi A. (G) 14. Cecotti C. 5. Howard S. 2. Marcussen A. 77. Borbye L. 20. Simonetti F. 27. Zamboni M. 6. Bergersen M. 7. Nischler N. (C) 10. Chidiac A. 12. Nielsen A.
Substitutes
9. Camacho C. 1. Cetinja S. (G) 20. Freeman L. (G) 32. Frenquellucci A. 25. Goldoni E. 2. Holmstrom A. 15. Le Mouel M. 17. Longobardi A. 30. Mancini S. 6. Masu C. 11. Portales Nieto M.
32. Babb S. (G) 11. Berisha F. 9. Bernardi V. 24. Bianchi C. 8. Hubaut L. 19. Mas L. 16. Moretti G. 13. Nesbeth L. 3. Ronan K. 30. Ruma G. (G) 21. Viesti M. 17. Vigilucci V.
Coaches
Grassadonia G.
Tramezzani P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Monnecchi M. ↓, Portales Nieto M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chidiac A. ↓, Bernardi V. ↑,
47', Sciabica M. 🟨,
53', Castiello A. 🟨,
59', Marcussen A. 🟨,
63', Sciabica M. ↓, Le Mouel M. ↑,
64', Castiello A. ↓, Goldoni E. ↑,
64', Ngueleu N. ↓, Camacho C. ↑,
71', Consolini L. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
80', Grassadonia G. 🟨,
85', Cecotti C. ↓, Ronan K. ↑,
85', Zamboni M. ↓, Vigilucci V. ↑,
90+4', Visentin N. 🟨,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 10th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3.
Lazio is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Como has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lazio is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Lazio has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:9 (averaging 2.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lazio against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 9:7 goals (averaging 2.3:1.8 per game).