Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 11

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Mirko Fersini (Rome)

Referee: Castellone D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Lazio		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.35	1.8
	4.13	3.61	1.81
	4.02	3.72	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.73
	4.51	3.54	1.77	Watch
	4	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (2.95)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	1.79 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
22.3%

Draw
26.3%

Fiorentina
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lazio - Fiorentina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Durante F. (G) 2. Baltrip-Reyes C. 7. Connolly M. 27. D'Auria F. 17. Monnecchi M. 25. Goldoni E. 20. Simonetti F. 13. Oliviero E. 99. Visentin N. 11. Le Bihan C. 18. Piemonte M.	1. Fiskerstrand C. (G) 20. Orsi B. 22. Van Der Zanden I. 44. Faerge E. 3. Johansen O. 21. Severini E. 77. Curmark F. 26. Cherubini M. 15. Bredgaard S. 51. Omarsdottir I. 9. Janogy M.
Substitutes
10. Benoit A. 77. Cafferata F. . Cesarini E. 1. Karresmaa K. (G) 30. Mancini S. 8. Martin E. 6. Mesjasz M.	23. Bettineschi G. (G) 24. Cetinja S. (G) 85. Filangeri M. 30. Tomassoni E. 27. Tryggvadottir K. 11. Wijnants S. 2. Woldvik E.
Coaches
Grassadonia G.	Pinones-Arce P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', Baltrip-Reyes C. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Goldoni E. ⚽, Oliviero E. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Piemonte M. ⚽, Goldoni E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Le Bihan C. ↓, Benoit A. ↑,
60', Curmark F. 🟨,
61', Orsi B. ↓, Woldvik E. ↑,
61', Severini E. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Curmark F. (Own goal),
65', Simonetti F. 🟨,
68', Simonetti F. ↓, Martin E. ↑,
68', Baltrip-Reyes C. ↓, Mesjasz M. ↑,
69', Faerge E. ↓, Filangeri M. ↑,
69', Cherubini M. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
80', Monnecchi M. ↓, Cafferata F. ↑,
80', Piemonte M. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
83', Janogy M. ↓, Tomassoni E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fiorentina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lazio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

Fiorentina W: 4.99% Lazio W: 3.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Fiorentina W	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
10	Lazio W	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lazio Women
Coppa Italia Women
21.01.26	Lazio - Roma	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
18.01.26	Ternana - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
21.12.25	Parma - Lazio	0:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie A Women
14.12.25	Lazio - Parma	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Sassuolo - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWW
- Fiorentina Women FC
Coppa Italia Women
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
17.01.26	Fiorentina - Genoa	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
21.12.25	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A Women
13.12.25	Como - Fiorentina	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Fiorentina - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
25.01.25	Lazio - Fiorentina	2:0
19.10.24	Fiorentina - Lazio	3:2
26.02.22	Fiorentina - Lazio	2:2

Lazio - Fiorentina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide