Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 14

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara (Milan)

Referee: Teghille V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	W-sport
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	W-sport
France	DAZN France, W-Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Luxembourg	W-Sport
Netherlands	W-Sport
Portugal	DAZN / App, W-Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	W-Sport


	Milan		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.45
	2.57	3.42	2.57
	2.56	3.59	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.57	3.46	2.57	Watch
	2.54	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.48)	3.36 ↓ (3.47)	2.51 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
36.1%

Draw
27.3%

Fiorentina
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.3%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1%)

Milan - Fiorentina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 20. Soffia A. 21. Keijzer M. 8. Arrigoni G. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 14. Park Soo-Jeong 15. Stokic S. 80. Kamczyk E. 7. Kyvag T.	1. Fiskerstrand C. (G) 2. Woldvik E. 22. Van Der Zanden I. 44. Faerge E. 85. Filangeri M. 21. Severini E. (C) 77. Curmark F. 26. Cherubini M. 15. Bredgaard S. 9. Janogy M. 17. Eiriksdottir H.
Substitutes
29. Appiah K. 5. Cernoia V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 12. Mascarello M. 18. Renzotti M. 17. Sesay M. 24. Tornaghi L. (G)	31. Bartalini V. (G) 23. Bettineschi G. (G) 4. Bonfantini A. 3. Johansen O. 16. Lombardi E. 51. Omarsdottir I. 20. Orsi B. 30. Tomassoni E. 14. Toniolo M. 27. Tryggvadottir K. 11. Wijnants S.
Coaches
Bakker S.	Pinones-Arce P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Janogy M. ⚽, Bredgaard S. (A),
28', Cherubini M. 🟨,
36', Bredgaard S. ↓, Bonfantini A. ↑,
37', Curmark F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kyvag T. ↓, Renzotti M. ↑,
58', Bonfantini A. 🟨,
69', Stokic S. ↓, Sesay M. ↑,
70', Kamczyk E. ↓, Appiah K. ↑,
72', Eiriksdottir H. ↓, Omarsdottir I. ↑,
72', Cherubini M. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
76', Bonfantini A. 🟨,
85', Keijzer M. ↓, Mascarello M. ↑,
86', Curmark F. ↓, Orsi B. ↑,
90+1', Filangeri M. 🟨,
90+3', Fiskerstrand C. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 1.

Milan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.8:1.9).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

Fiorentina W: 4.99% AC Milan W: 3.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan W	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
6	Fiorentina W	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan Women
Italian Serie A Women
08.02.26	Roma - Milan	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Milan - Genoa	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
29.01.26	Fiorentina - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
25.01.26	Milan - Ternana	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWT
- Fiorentina Women FC
Italian Serie A Women
08.02.26	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
29.01.26	Fiorentina - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
24.01.26	Lazio - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Women
29.01.26	Fiorentina - Milan	1:0
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1
Italian Serie A Women
18.10.25	Fiorentina - Milan	4:3
12.04.25	Milan - Fiorentina	5:3
02.03.25	Fiorentina - Milan	0:0
Coppa Italia Women
28.01.25	Fiorentina - Milan	2:0
16.01.25	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1

Milan - Fiorentina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide