Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leça		Fafe

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.10	2.35
	2.95	3.05	2.23
	2.71	3.25	2.63
	2.7	3.24	2.56	Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.55
	2.60	3.33	2.60
	2.55	3.15	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.95)	3.19 ↑ (3)	2.47 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
34.1%

Draw
28.8%

Fafe
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Leça - Fafe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paiva M. (G) 21. Avelino C. 4. Balde F. 41. Cassio Scheid 7. Diego Fernandes 20. Ferreira R. 11. Mesquita B. 33. Pereira D. 10. Reis N. 23. Ribeiro D. 16. Sousa S.	1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 88. Asamoah K. 26. Batista J. (C) 10. Carvalho D. 20. Carvalho D. 9. Correia M. 11. Picas 2. Ribeiro O. 6. Sequeira 4. Teixeira L. 13. Veiga T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Veiga T. ⚽, Correia M. (A),
40', Asamoah K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Teixeira L. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Correia M. ⚽, Picas (A),
56', 0 - 3, Picas ⚽, Carvalho D. (A),
59', Asamoah K. ↓, Mimito ↑,
60', Batista J. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
61', Mesquita B. ↓, David Rebelo ↑,
62', Ferreira R. ↓, Fortes M. ↑,
63', Pereira P. 🟨,
67', Fortes M. 🟥,
70', Carvalho D. ↓, Dinis G. ↑,
70', Carvalho D. ↓, Otumba P. ↑,
73', Sousa S. ↓, Jurjonas E. ↑,
76', Ribeiro O. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
82', Pereira D. ↓, Augusto T. ↑,
82', David Rebelo ↓, Miranda M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Fafe is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leça may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Portuguese Liga 3
15.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Leça	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Leça - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.06.26	Leça - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 penalties ✺
31.05.26	Leça - Bragança	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Rebordosa - Leça	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWWL
- AD Fafe
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Fafe	0:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
21.08.26	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	São João de Ver - Fafe	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Fafe - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Sanjoanense - Fafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWW

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