Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/128-finals

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paços de Ferreira		Fafe

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.75	3.40	Watch
	1.85	3.50	3.50
	1.79	3.25	3.95
	1.85	3.68	3.70
	1.76	3.75	3.98
	1.77	3.70	3.65
	1.96	3.98	3.43	Watch
	1.94	3.75	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.41)	3.67 ↑ (3.23)	3.65 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
49.9%

Draw
25%

Fafe
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paços de Ferreira's performance.

Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fafe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Paços de Ferreira - Fafe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

Fafe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fafe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Paços de Ferreira - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Varzim	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Farense - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTL
- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
21.08.26	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	São João de Ver - Fafe	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Fafe - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Sanjoanense - Fafe	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Chaves - Fafe	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.25	Fafe - Paços de Ferreira	1:1

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