Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Le Mans		Bourg-Péronnas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.3	3.75
	1.97	3.31	4.13
	1.96	3.26	4.02	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.75
	1.92	3.32	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	3.84 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
47.8%

Draw
28.2%

Bourg-Péronnas
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Le Mans - Bourg Péronnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 33. Bernardeau G. 3. Burlet V. 22. Calodat L. 19. Dekoke N. 21. Eyoum T. 25. Gueye D. 18. Lamgahez Z. 24. Ouchen A. 6. Quarshie E. 12. Ribelin A.	30. Charly J. (G) 10. Aouladzian Y. 27. Bladi D. 2. Commaret M. 8. Foulon G. 20. Karajcic V. 17. Labissiere B. 5. Lacour Q. 4. Souleymane Z. 18. Tankiev B. 26. Vitre N.
Substitutes
11. Colas E. 8. Lauray A. 34. Matumona J. 23. Nonnenmacher M. 15. Vula A.	11. Dadoune O. 22. Donio B. 3. Jolibois C. 29. Magassouba M. 1. Michelizzi P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Bernardeau G. ⚽, Calodat L. (A),
24', Souleymane Z. ↓, Jolibois C. ↑,
36', Aouladzian Y. 🟨,
37', Vitre N. 🟨,
45+1', Lamgahez Z. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Jolibois C. ⚽, Karajcic V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Burlet V. 🟨,
53', Karajcic V. ↓, Dadoune O. ↑,
53', Tankiev B. ↓, Magassouba M. ↑,
57', Eyoum T. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
58', Ouchen A. ↓, Nonnenmacher M. ↑,
59', Nonnenmacher M. 🟨,
68', Quarshie E. 🟨,
69', Bernardeau G. ↓, Vula A. ↑,
73', Labissiere B. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Dadoune O. ⚽,
83', Charly J. 🟨,
86', Burlet V. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
86', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bourg-Péronnas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Le Mans is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
13.09.24	Boulogne - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
06.09.24	Le Mans - Dijon	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Sochaux - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Le Mans - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
19.08.24	Versailles - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWTL
- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
06.09.24	Quevilly - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Châteauroux - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Bourg-Péronnas - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Dijon - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Bourg-Péronnas - Lyon II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
21.04.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	1:1
02.12.22	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1
11.02.22	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2
03.09.21	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	1:1
27.02.21	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	2:0
25.09.20	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0
21.03.19	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	3:0

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