Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Troyes		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.05	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.19	3.25	3.67
	2.08	3.26	3.63	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.06	3.1	3.85	Watch
	2.08	3.14	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.07)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)	3.6 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
44.9%

Draw
29.4%

Le Mans
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.8%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Troyes - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Le Mans will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Le Mans (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 23. Gambor H. 3. Ouzenadji A. 10. Ifnaoui M. 12. Odede E. 8. Diop M. 11. Detourbet M. 5. Adeline M. 21. Bentayeb T.	98. Kocik N. (G) 5. Voyer H. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 17. Yohou S. 21. Eyoum T. 18. Buades L. 27. Rossignol M. 26. Hamdi M. 8. Lauray A. 28. Colas E. 25. Gueye D.
Substitutes
1. Boucher Z. (G) 7. Chavalerin X. 38. Diawara S. 9. El Idrissy M. 33. Onambele F. O. 20. Ripart R. 44. Titi Y.	22. Calodat L. 3. Cossier I. 19. Guillaume B. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 23. Luvambo T. 9. Rabillard A. 12. Ribelin A.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Yohou S. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Colas E. ⚽, Rossignol M. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Voyer H. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Voyer H. ↓, Cossier I. ↑,
46', Odede E. ↓, Chavalerin X. ↑,
50', Hamdi M. 🟨,
54', Hamdi M. 🟥,
55', Maronnier L. ↓, Titi Y. ↑,
58', Gueye D. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
59', Chavalerin X. 🟨,
67', Buades L. ↓, Ribelin A. ↑,
67', Colas E. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
68', Rossignol M. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
75', Adeline M. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
83', Kocik N. 🟨,
88', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
88', Ouzenadji A. ↓, Onambele F. O. ↑,
88', Gambor H. ↓, Diawara S. ↑,
89', Luvambo T. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
90+4', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
90+5', Detourbet M. 🟨,
90+5', Ribelin A. 🟨,
90+5', Lauray A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Le Mans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Troyes might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Troyes: Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Le Mans: Bretelle L. (Inactive) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Guillaume B. (Inactive) Harhouz W. (Leg Injury) Rabillard A. (Injury) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Mille A. (Injury) Phliponeau A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
24.01.26	Guingamp - Troyes	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Troyes - Reims	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Bastia - Troyes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Troyes - Red Star	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Olympique Marcq-en-Baroeul - Troyes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
26.01.26	Le Mans - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Rodez - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Le Mans - Nancy	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Le Mans - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Périgny - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.10.25	Le Mans - Troyes	2:2
18.10.19	Troyes - Le Mans	2:1
24.02.12	Troyes - Le Mans	N/A

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