Match Info

SPAIN: Copa Federacion - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Lealtad		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.95	3	2.33
	2.82	3	2.44
	2.83	3.08	2.44	Watch
	2.88	3	2.25
	2.81	3.38	2.39
	2.95	3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.71)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	2.35 (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
31.7%

Draw
29.6%

Compostela
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.4%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Lealtad - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, Cinta C. ⚽,
80', 0 - 2, Landeira G. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Compostela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lealtad won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lealtad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Real Avilés - Lealtad	0:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
22.09.24	Lealtad - Covadonga	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	LEntregu - Lealtad	1:1 ✺
09.09.24	Lealtad - Lenense	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.24	Langreo - Lealtad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLTWT
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.09.24	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Vimenor - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Compostela - Langreo	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Compostela	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Compostela - Pontevedra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.04.16	Compostela - Lealtad	1:1
15.11.15	Lealtad - Compostela	3:1
07.03.15	Lealtad - Compostela	3:2
19.10.14	Compostela - Lealtad	2:1

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