Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Lealtad		Llanera

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.95	3.7
	1.92	2.88	3.55
	1.93	2.95	3.7
	1.88	2.9	3.6
	2	3	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
45.8%

Draw
30.2%

Llanera
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

23.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Llanera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lealtad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llanera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lealtad - Llanera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Recent matches Lealtad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llanera is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lealtad will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lealtad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lealtad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
22.01.23	Tuilla - Lealtad	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Lealtad - Ceares	0:3 ✺
08.01.23	Lealtad - Real Titánico	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Condal - Lealtad	0:2 ✺
11.12.22	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLWT
- UD Llanera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
22.01.23	Llanera - Praviano	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Covadonga - Llanera	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	LEntregu - Llanera	2:2 ✺
18.12.22	Llanera - Sporting de Gijón B	0:2 ✺
11.12.22	Avilés Stadium - Llanera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.09.22	Llanera - Lealtad	1:0
27.10.19	Lealtad - Llanera	4:0
06.01.19	Llanera - Lealtad	0:3

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