Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Lealtad		Caudal Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.7	2.55
	2.95	2.55	2.75
	3.03	2.49	2.84
	2.99	2.52	2.8
	2.69	3.23	2.58
	2.95	2.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.79)	2.67 ↓ (2.81)	2.71 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lealtad
31.8%

Draw
34.3%

Caudal Deportivo
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

32.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

32.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Caudal Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Sergio Rios (Pen),
38', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Sanzech I. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 1.

Lealtad is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Caudal Deportivo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lealtad won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 0.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.05.25	Lealtad - Avilés Stadium	6:0 ✺
04.05.25	Mosconia - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Lealtad - Praviano	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Roces - Lealtad	0:5 ✺
06.04.25	Lealtad - Real Oviedo B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWL
- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.05.25	Caudal Deportivo - Ceares	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Colunga - Caudal Deportivo	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	LEntregu - Caudal Deportivo	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Caudal Deportivo - Lenense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.03.25	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	0:0
27.10.24	Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad	2:1
03.02.24	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	1:0
17.09.23	Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad	0:0
09.04.23	Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad	1:0
11.12.22	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	0:0
30.03.22	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	2:0

Upcoming Matches