The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leandro N. Alem 42.8%
Draw 33.3%
Argentino de Rosario 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
29.9%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
29.4%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leandro N. Alem's performance.
Argentino de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino de Rosario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leandro N. Alem that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino de Rosario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leandro N. Alem - Argentino de Rosario Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Fortini N. ⚽,
37', 🟥,
39', 2 - 0, Leguizamon L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leandro N. Alem won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Leandro N. Alem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leandro N. Alem won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Leandro N. Alem won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Leandro N. Alem - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Argentino de Rosario - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.