Match Info

Primera C - Round 18

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estrella del Sur		Leandro N. Alem

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.98	4.25
	1.85	2.91	4.43
	1.85	3.01	4.55	Watch
	1.82	2.85	4.35
	1.87	3.12	4.67
	1.84	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.74)	2.97 ↓ (3.12)	4.41 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella del Sur
49%

Draw
30.5%

Leandro N. Alem
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

29%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

28%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella del Sur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Estrella del Sur - Leandro N. Alem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Torres L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Feletto S. ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, Lopez R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Estrella del Sur is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estrella del Sur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella del Sur de Alejandro Korn
Argentinian Primera C
28.06.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Estrella del Sur	0:3 ✺
14.06.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Estrella del Sur	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Estrella del Sur - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Argentino de Rosario - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Estrella del Sur - Lugano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTTW
- Leandro N. Alem
Argentinian Primera C
28.06.26	Leandro N. Alem - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Leandro N. Alem - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Centro Español - Leandro N. Alem	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Justo José de Urquiza	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
01.03.26	Leandro N. Alem - Estrella del Sur	3:2

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