Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 31

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Lecce U20		Atalanta U20

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.37
	2.45	3.4	2.42
	2.65	3.65	2.43
	2.57	3.75	2.42	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.48	3.46	2.38
	2.6	3.2	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	2.4 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce U20
36.2%

Draw
26.1%

Atalanta U20
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

24.3%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Atalanta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce U20 than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U20 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lecce U20 - Atalanta U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Penev P. (G) 17. Di Pasquale A. 18. Flies J. 20. Gorter O. 25. Kozarac H. 7. Laerke H. 74. Longo F. 6. Pacia F. 2. Rashidi W. . Sanchez 8. Staszak W.	22. Anelli A. (G) 28. Arrigoni M. 10. Artesani N. 11. Baldo N. 9. Cakolli D. 19. Gasparello F. 2. Gobbo L. 23. Isoa I. 31. Leandri M. 15. Parmiggiani P. 16. Ruiz G.
Substitutes
55. Calame M. 46. Danese T. . Fontanarosa A. 33. Maiotti S. 44. Marrocco I. 77. Palmieri A. 21. Perrone S. 27. Persano E. 45. Piccinno D. 34. Skovgaard B. 14. Spinelli N.	12. Barbieri A. (G) 26. Belli M. 21. Bono D. 33. Camara H. 7. Galafassi F. 32. Mouisse S. 18. Mungari G. 37. Pedretti M. 30. Percassi G. 6. Ramaj G. 14. Rinaldi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Parmiggiani P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ruiz G. ↓, Ramaj G. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Esteban P. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Cakolli D. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Camara H. ⚽,
72', Longo F. 🟨,
74', Parmiggiani P. 🟥,
79', 🟨,
82', Esteban P. ↓, Skovgaard B. ↑,
84', Belli M. 🟨,
86', Di Pasquale A. ↓, Calame M. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lecce U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atalanta U20 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atalanta U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lecce U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lecce U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Lecce U20	5	0	4	1	8:9	-1	4
20	Atalanta U20	5	1	0	4	7:13	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U20 - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lecce U20
Italian Primavera 1
16.03.26	Parma U20 - Lecce U20	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lecce U20 - Torino U20	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Lazio U20 - Lecce U20	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Sassuolo U20 - Lecce U20	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Lecce U20 - Cesena U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTWWT
- Atalanta U20
Italian Primavera 1
09.03.26	Cremonese U20 - Atalanta U20	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Atalanta U20 - Cesena U20	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta U20 - Genoa U20	3:1 ✺
16.02.26	Sassuolo U20 - Atalanta U20	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
11.02.26	Verona U20 - Atalanta U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
12.01.26	Atalanta U20 - Lecce U20	2:3
16.03.25	Atalanta U20 - Lecce U20	2:1
06.12.24	Lecce U20 - Atalanta U20	2:1

Lecce U20 - Atalanta U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide