Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Lecce U20		Cesena U20

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.6	2.68
	2.27	3.7	2.84
	2.2	3.97	2.76	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.7
	2.24	3.75	2.81
	2.2	3.75	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	3.68 ↓ (3.79)	2.75 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce U20
41.6%

Draw
25%

Cesena U20
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

24.6%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

23.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cesena U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce U20 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena U20 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Lecce U20 - Cesena U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Penev P. (G)
23. Calame M.
3. Dalla Costa L.
17. Di Pasquale A.
19. Esteban P.
20. Gorter O.
25. Kozarac H.
7. Laerke H.
5. Pehlivanov C. (C)
2. Rashidi W.
4. Scott E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Calame M. 🟨,
62', Carbone A. 🟨,
63', Domeniconi R. 🟨,
63', Wade I. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
63', Carbone A. ↓, Amadori E. ↑,
75', Calame M. ↓, Spinelli N. ↑,
77', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lecce U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cesena U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cesena U20 has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lecce U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lecce U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena U20	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6
14	Lecce U20	5	0	4	1	8:9	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lecce U20
Italian Primavera 1
21.01.26	Lecce U20 - Juventus U20	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Lecce U20 - Bologna U20	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	Atalanta U20 - Lecce U20	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
07.01.26	Sassuolo U20 - Lecce U20	3:0 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
04.01.26	Lecce U20 - Inter U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWLW
- Cesena U20
Italian Primavera 1
26.01.26	Cesena U20 - Verona U20	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Bologna U20 - Cesena U20	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Cesena U20 - Frosinone U20	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Cesena U20 - Genoa U20	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Cesena U20 - Monza U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
30.08.25	Cesena U20 - Lecce U20	3:1
19.01.25	Lecce U20 - Cesena U20	3:2
10.11.24	Cesena U20 - Lecce U20	3:1

Lecce U20 - Cesena U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide