Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Lecce U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	3.43	3.81	1.95
	3.4	3.8	1.95	Watch
	3.25	3.4	1.91
	3.39	3.54	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.9	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	3.69 ↓ (3.9)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce U20
27.3%

Draw
24.8%

Fiorentina U20
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

23.4%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

23.4%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Fiorentina U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Lecce U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Penev P. (G) 17. Di Pasquale A. 99. Esposito P. 19. Esteban P. 18. Flies J. 7. Laerke H. . Lerga R. 6. Pacia F. 5. Pehlivanov C. 2. Rashidi W. 4. Scott E.	50. Leonardelli P. (G) 3. Ademi A. 80. Atzeni D. 4. Bonanno P. 64. Deli L. 33. Evangelista C. 18. Jallow S. 14. Kone M. 60. Kouadio E. 5. Sadotti E. 19. Trapani N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Esteban P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Esteban P. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Fiorentina U20 is Qualified for Primavera 1 (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In recent matches, Lecce U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fiorentina U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lecce U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fiorentina U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lecce U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lecce U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Lecce U20	5	0	4	1	8:9	-1	4
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina U20 - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lecce U20
Italian Primavera 1
10.05.26	Napoli U20 - Lecce U20	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Cagliari U20 - Lecce U20	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Lecce U20 - Verona U20	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Inter U20 - Lecce U20	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lecce U20 - Genoa U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLT
- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
27.04.26	Fiorentina U20 - Monza U20	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Juventus U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Fiorentina U20 - Sassuolo U20	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Fiorentina U20 - Frosinone U20	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cagliari U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
20.09.25	Fiorentina U20 - Lecce U20	3:2
19.04.25	Lecce U20 - Fiorentina U20	3:1
14.09.24	Fiorentina U20 - Lecce U20	1:2

Lecce U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide