Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 33

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Primavera TV


	Lecce U20		Genoa U20

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.5	3.55
	1.91	3.7	3.68
	1.88	3.84	3.63	Watch
	1.84	3.5	3.67	Watch
	2.16	3.6	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.16)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	3.46 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce U20
48%

Draw
25.4%

Genoa U20
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lecce U20's performance.

Genoa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genoa U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce U20 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa U20 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Genoa U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lecce U20 - Genoa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Penev P. (G) 25. Kozarac H. 6. Pacia F. (C) 4. Scott E. 2. Rashidi W. 28. Gorter O. 8. Staszak W. 18. Flies J. 17. Di Pasquale A. 19. Esteban P. 7. Laerke H.	33. Baccelli P. (G) 72. Arata S. 5. Doucoure M. 42. Kumer Celik A. 2. Odero M. 20. Meola K. 75. Lafont G. 11. Spicuglia E. 71. Carbone F. 10. Romano M. 97. Zulevic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Lecce U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lecce U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lecce U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Genoa U20	5	2	1	2	8:7	1	7
14	Lecce U20	5	0	4	1	8:9	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lecce U20
Italian Primavera 1
04.04.26	Milan U20 - Lecce U20	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Lecce U20 - Atalanta U20	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Parma U20 - Lecce U20	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lecce U20 - Torino U20	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Lazio U20 - Lecce U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTTW
- Genoa U20
Italian Primavera 1
05.04.26	Genoa U20 - Monza U20	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Napoli U20 - Genoa U20	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Juventus U20 - Genoa U20	3:0 ✺
03.03.26	Genoa U20 - Verona U20	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Genoa U20 - Lazio U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
26.10.25	Genoa U20 - Lecce U20	1:1
06.04.25	Lecce U20 - Genoa U20	0:2
14.12.24	Genoa U20 - Lecce U20	2:1

Lecce U20 - Genoa U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide