Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki)


	Lech Poznań 2		Grom Nowy Staw

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.10	5.25
	1.45	4.25	5.1
	1.44	4.55	5
	1.49	4.51	5.03	Watch
	1.41	4.55	4.95
	1.52	4.87	4.61	Watch
	1.38	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.38)	4.46 ↑ (4.4)	5.08 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
62.1%

Draw
20.2%

Grom Nowy Staw
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Grom Nowy Staw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grom Nowy Staw than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Grom Nowy Staw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kowalski P. ⚽, Dziuba M. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Stankiewicz I. ⚽, Kowalski P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
54', 2 - 1, Jankowski I. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Jankowski I. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Jankowski I. ⚽,
83', 2 - 4, Jankowski I. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Lech 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grom Nowy Staw is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lech 2 is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lech Poznan II	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15
12	Grom Nowy Staw	11	4	1	6	28:28	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Lipno Stęszew	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Chemik Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Września - Lech Poznań 2	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTW
- Grom Nowy Staw
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Kluczevia Stargard	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Wda Świecie - Grom Nowy Staw	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Elana Toruń	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Noteć Czarnków - Grom Nowy Staw	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches