Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Poznań)

Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Lech Poznań		Dinamo Batumi

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2	2.85	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.85
	1.92	3.3	3.75
	1.89	3.48	4.15
				Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.6)	3.26 ↓ (3.7)	3.97 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
48.4%

Draw
28.4%

Dinamo Batumi
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań's form might have worsened.

Dinamo Batumi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Batumi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Batumi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.7%	14.6%	31.7%

Lech Poznań - Dinamo Batumi Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 22 - 53.7%). Dinamo Batumi will win (votes: 13 - 31.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 38.4% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Lech is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dinamo Batumi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dinamo Batumi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lech won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.07.22	Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Lech Poznań	5:1 ✺
Polish Super Cup
09.07.22	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.07.22	Lech Poznań - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.22	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW
- Dinamo Batumi
UEFA Champions League
13.07.22	Dinamo Batumi - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 ET ✺
06.07.22	Slovan Bratislava - Dinamo Batumi	0:0 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
29.06.22	Dinamo Batumi - Dinamo Tbilisi	4:1 ✺
25.06.22	Dinamo Batumi - Sioni Bolnisi	3:0 ✺
21.06.22	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.01.22	Lech Poznań - Dinamo Batumi	1:2

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