The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lech Poznań 54.1%
Draw 25.3%
Korona Kielce 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.7%
21.5%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
21.1%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań's form might have worsened.
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Korona Kielce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.5%
0%
9.5%
Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
DC - Lech (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lech Poznań will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 11 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 16. Milic A. 15. Gurgul M. 14. Bengtsson L. 23. Thordarson G. 24. Jagiello F. 56. Lisman K. 9. Ishak M. (C) 77. Palma L.
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 61. Budnicki J. 44. Sotiriou K. 6. Pieczek M. 71. Dlugosz W. 8. Remacle M. 88. Svetlin T. 3. Matuszewski K. 10. Nono (C) 70. Antonin 7. Blanik D.
Substitutes
31. Bakowski K. (G) 21. Baranski B. 19. Fiabema B. 43. Kozubal A. 27. Monka W. 4. Moutinho J. 6. Ouma T. 99. Rodriguez P. 18. Salamon B. 17. Szymczak F.
9. Davidovic S. 27. Kaminski W. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Nikolov V. 15. Niski N. 5. Resta P. 24. Smolarczyk B. 13. Strzebonski M. 37. Zwozny H.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.
Zielinski J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Lisman K. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Blanik D. ⚽,
71', Dlugosz W. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
71', Blanik D. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
75', Bengtsson L. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
75', Thordarson G. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
75', Gurgul M. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
75', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
75', Nono ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
79', Niski N. 🟨,
80', Svetlin T. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Palma L. ⚽, Ishak M. (A),
83', Jagiello F. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
90+2', Ishak M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 4.
Lech is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Korona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lech is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Lech: Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
Sousa A.
(Inactive)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
There will not play in Korona: Popov V.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Lech: Gumny R.
(Injury)
Jagiello F.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).