Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	2.8
	1.82	3.95	3.2
	1.82	3.97	3.25
	1.37	5.22	5.98	Watch
	1.73	4.41	3.46	Watch
	1.95	3.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.15)	4.21 ↑ (3.6)	3.61 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
52.2%

Draw
22.1%

GKS Bełchatów
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's performance.

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Bełchatów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomaszów Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bełchatów will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomaszów Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Tomaszów Mazowiecki (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomaszów Mazowiecki (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Rosinski M. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Napolov S. (Pen),
21', 1 - 2, Wysinski N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.99%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.08.25	Warta Sieradz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wasilków	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Legia II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWTL
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.08.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Troszyn - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	GKS Bełchatów - Broń Radom	4:4 ✺
02.08.25	Znicz Biała Piska - GKS Bełchatów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:0
29.09.24	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2
25.05.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	5:1
04.11.23	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0
Club Friendly
27.01.21	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1
07.07.18	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1
08.07.15	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0

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