Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 18

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		LGKS 38 Podlesianka

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	3.7
	1.72	3.85	3.85
	1.75	3.93	3.83
	1.74	3.75	3.88
	1.72	3.85	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)	3.82 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
52.5%

Draw
23.7%

LGKS 38 Podlesianka
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

20.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

LGKS 38 Podlesianka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Zielona Góra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LGKS 38 Podlesianka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LGKS 38 Podlesianka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lechia Zielona Góra - LGKS 38 Podlesianka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
40', 1 - 0, Kolodenny J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.11.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Kluczbork	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.10.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Widzew Łódź	3:4 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.10.24	Unia Turza Śląska - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTLW
- LGKS 38 Podlesianka
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.11.24	Miedź Legnica 2 - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	3:3 ✺
31.10.24	Carina Gubin - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Pniówek Pawłowice	4:2 ✺
20.10.24	Ślęza Wrocław - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
03.08.24	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:2

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