Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Sparta Katowice		Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	2.98
	2.07	3.55	3.08
	2.04	3.65	3.04	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.08	3.74	3.01	Watch
	1.93	3.52	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.93)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Katowice
44.3%

Draw
25.9%

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Katowice than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sparta Katowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Sobolewski P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Michalski M. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Bajerski K. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Zambrano M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Sparta Katowice is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karkonosze has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sparta Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sparta Katowice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sparta Katowice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BKS Sparta Katowice	11	7	3	1	19:7	12	24
9	Jelenia Gora	11	4	3	4	12:9	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Katowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.04.26	Kluczbork - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sparta Katowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sparta Katowice - Ślęza Wrocław	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Carina Gubin - Sparta Katowice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
14.04.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Carina Gubin	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Kluczbork	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Sparta Katowice	1:0

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