Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 3

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Leevon PPK		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.45	2.98	Watch
	2.13	3.56	2.98	Watch
	2.08	3.54	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.09)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leevon PPK
43.5%

Draw
25.9%

Mārupe
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leevon PPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Leevon PPK - Mārupe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mārupe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', Zengis R. 🟥,
84', Muiznieks R. 🟥,
90+4', Korzans R. 🟨,

Preview

Mārupe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leevon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leevon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Leevon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Leevon PPK	21	15	4	2	43:25	18	49
6	Marupe	21	9	2	10	34:32	2	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leevon PPK
Latvian 1 Liga
28.03.26	Rēzekne - Leevon PPK	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Skanstes - Leevon PPK	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Olaine - Leevon PPK	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Rēzekne - Leevon PPK	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Leevon PPK - Riga 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWL
- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
04.04.26	Mārupe - Skanstes	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mārupe - Rēzekne	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Mārupe - Ogre United	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	JFK Ventspils - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mārupe - Olaine	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.25	Mārupe - Leevon PPK	1:0
07.09.24	Mārupe - Leevon PPK	1:0
20.04.24	Leevon PPK - Mārupe	4:2

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