Match Info

1. Liga - Round 23

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Latvia	17:00	Futbols TV


	JFK Ventspils		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.40	2.15
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	2.61	3.61	2.21
	2.82	3.69	2.14	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.18
	2.75	3.5	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.72)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JFK Ventspils
33.1%

Draw
25.5%

Mārupe
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

24.7%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JFK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

JFK Ventspils - Mārupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th in the Relegation and 6th).

JFK Ventspils is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mārupe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, JFK Ventspils has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for JFK Ventspils against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Marupe	24	10	3	11	38:40	-2	33
13	JFK Ventspils	24	3	7	14	21:48	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga
10.10.26	JFK Ventspils - Leevon PPK	0:4 ✺
26.09.26	Tukums 2000 2 - JFK Ventspils	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	JFK Ventspils - Skanstes	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Metta - JFK Ventspils	7:0 ✺
05.09.26	Rīgas FS 2 - JFK Ventspils	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
20.09.26	Mārupe - Riga 2	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Mārupe - Tukums 2000 2	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	Mārupe - JDFS Alberts	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Valmiera - Mārupe	4:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga Women
15.08.26	Mārupe - Super Nova 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:2
01.11.25	JFK Ventspils - Mārupe	1:0
05.07.25	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:2
15.09.24	JFK Ventspils - Mārupe	2:3
11.05.24	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:0

JFK Ventspils - Mārupe