The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Legia Warsaw 42.1%
Draw 27.8%
Wisła Kraków 30.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.2%
25.1%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
25.8%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Legia (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Legia Warsaw (2.20) (votes: 80%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
89. Hindrich O. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Deziel R. 22. Wszolek P. 4. Szymanski D. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 11. Chodyna K. 17. Szczepaniak M. 79. Zjawinski L. 9. Adamski R.
1. Lubik M. (G) 34. Giger R. 6. Uryga A. (C) 29. Grujcic D. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 10. Duarte F. 41. Duda K. 7. Ertlthaler J. 12. Igbekeme J. 17. Bozic M. 9. Rodado A.
Substitutes
6. Arreiol H. 24. Arsenic Z. 1. Brkic I. (G) 14. Colak A. 2. Fukuda S. 13. Reca A. 23. Sevcik M. 62. Stepniewski F. 53. Urbanski W. 20. Zewlakow J.
97. Biedrzycki W. 8. Carbo M. 50. Kutwa M. 2. Lelieveld J. 13. Maisonneuve M. 23. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 4. Mikulec R. 93. Neugebauer B. (G) 32. Plawinski O.
Coaches
Papszun M.
Jop M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. ⚽,
29', Szczepaniak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
51', Duda K. 🟨,
57', Uryga A. 🟨,
61', Duarte F. ↓, Lelieveld J. ↑,
66', Rodado A. 🟨,
68', Szymanski D. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Adamski R. ⚽, Zewlakow J. (A),
74', Kapustka B. ↓, Arreiol H. ↑,
75', Bozic M. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
75', Igbekeme J. ↓, Mikulec R. ↑,
80', Grujcic D. 🟨,
85', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Plawinski O. ↑,
90', Zewlakow J. ↓, Sevcik M. ↑,
90+1', Wszolek P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Europa League (Qualification: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
Legia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Wisła is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Legia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Legia: Bichakhchyan V.
(Muscle Injury)
Fukuda S.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Wisła: Guillemenot J.
(Inactive)
Stepak J.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Legia has recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:17 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Legia against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:10 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).
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Hindrich O. (G) 
Piatkowski K. 
Deziel R. 
Giger R. 
Grujcic D. 
Duarte F. 
Igbekeme J. 
Rodado A. 
Arsenic Z. 
Fukuda S. 
Sevcik M. 
Lelieveld J. 
Maisonneuve M. 
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