The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Legion Makhachkala 21.4%
Draw 24.1%
FC Sevastopol 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
24.1%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
23.5%
55.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legion Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
FC Sevastopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legion Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Klimanov R. (G) 5. Eremin A. 3. Gasanov S. 11. Ibragimov M. 61. Korotkov O. 21. Kurbanaliev A. 4. Kurbanov G. 18. Matvienko Y. 19. Pereletov K. 77. Pirmagomedov M. 8. Polkovnikov R.
22. Kucheyko V. (G) 17. Aliev B. 25. Aliev Z. 6. Dugu A. 52. Isaev M. 79. Ivanov D. 15. Livadnov E. 80. Maksimov I. 37. Potapov L. 9. Ruban S. 33. Zubavlenko V.
Substitutes
15. Alim L. 23. Gerasimov A. (G) 17. Gurov K. 25. Krasnov N. 28. Tokaev A.
3. Ganus V. 11. Gevlych V. 7. Mironenko V. 23. Popov A. 77. Smirnov A. 88. Tyshchenko R. (G) 44. Zagrebelnyi L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Aliev B. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Dugu A. ⚽,
35', Pirmagomedov M. ↓, Krasnov N. ↑,
36', 0 - 2, Zubavlenko V. ⚽,
45+3', Korotkov O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Isaev M. 🟨,
70', Maksimov I. ↓, Smirnov A. ↑,
70', Ruban S. ↓, Mironenko V. ↑,
74', Matvienko Y. ↓, Tokaev A. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Polkovnikov R. ⚽,
81', Mironenko V. 🟨,
85', Aliev B. ↓, Gevlych V. ↑,
85', Zubavlenko V. ↓, Zagrebelnyi L. ↑,
90+1', Dugu A. ↓, Ganus V. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', Livadnov E. 🟥,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3).
Legion has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sevastopol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Sevastopol is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legion won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Legion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.