Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	FC Sevastopol		Druzhba Maykop

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.45	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.85)	4.45 ↑ (3.08)	9.8 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Sevastopol
70.3%

Draw
20.4%

Druzhba Maykop
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

29.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

32.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Sevastopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Sevastopol's performance.

Druzhba Maykop has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Druzhba Maykop might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Sevastopol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Druzhba Maykop could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Sevastopol - Druzhba Maykop Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevastopol won 3.

Sevastopol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Druzhba is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sevastopol is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sevastopol won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevastopol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Sevastopol	24	19	2	3	44:18	26	59
8	Maykop	24	10	6	8	30:29	1	36

Last Results with these Odds

FC Sevastopol - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sevastopol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.05.26	Kyzyltash - FC Sevastopol	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Dinskaya	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Rubin Yalta - FC Sevastopol	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Chayka 2	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - FC Sevastopol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLWT
- Druzhba Maykop
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.05.26	Angust Nazran - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Druzhba Maykop - Nart Cherkessk	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Spartak Nalchik - Druzhba Maykop	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Druzhba Maykop - Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
21.06.25	FC Sevastopol - Druzhba Maykop	2:1
05.04.25	Druzhba Maykop - FC Sevastopol	3:4
31.08.24	Druzhba Maykop - FC Sevastopol	1:2
04.05.24	FC Sevastopol - Druzhba Maykop	0:0
30.09.23	Druzhba Maykop - FC Sevastopol	1:0
19.08.23	FC Sevastopol - Druzhba Maykop	0:0

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