The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Legion Makhachkala 50%
Draw 26.6%
Spartak Nalchik 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
23.5%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
22.1%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legion Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legion Makhachkala's form might have worsened.
Spartak Nalchik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Nalchik's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legion Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legion Makhachkala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Nalchik than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Nalchik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Legion Makhachkala - Spartak Nalchik Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Klimanov R. (G) 5. Eremin A. 6. Gamzatov B. 17. Gurov K. 11. Ibragimov M. 61. Korotkov O. 25. Krasnov N. 4. Kurbanov G. 19. Pereletov K. 77. Pirmagomedov M. 28. Tokaev A.
1. Karkaev K. (G) 77. Balkizov R. 91. Bliev E. 22. Goguzokov A. 13. Kadykoev K. 44. Kenzhev M. 55. Kumyshev A. 9. Lysenko S. 6. Pekov I. 3. Piriev M. 4. Zhaboev I.
Substitutes
15. Alim L. 1. Davudov A. (G) 23. Gerasimov A. (G) 21. Kurbanaliev A. 27. Magomedov A. 8. Polkovnikov R.
90. Bolotokov K. 17. Cherkesov A. 40. Dzugulov T. 10. Khachirov A. 16. Kumykov A. (G) 88. Luev E. 11. Tlupov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Gurov K. ⚽,
39', Kurbanov G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Korotkov O. ↓, Kurbanaliev A. ↑,
62', Pirmagomedov M. 🟨,
65', Kenzhev M. ↓, Cherkesov A. ↑,
73', Kumyshev A. ↓, Tlupov I. ↑,
76', Bliev E. 🟨,
81', Krasnov N. 🟨,
86', Piriev M. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legion won 4.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, Legion is a strong favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Legion won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Legion won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1:0.6).