Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 25

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Legnano		Castanese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2	3.25	3.25
	2.09	3.05	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.15)	3.13 ↑ (2.9)	3.31 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnano
44%

Draw
28.7%

Castanese
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

25.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Castanese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legnano than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legnano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castanese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out)).

Legnano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castanese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Legnano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Legnano Calcio 1913
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.01.23	Pinerolo - Legnano	2:1 ✺
25.01.23	Legnano - Borgosesia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Unione Sanremo - Legnano	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Sestri Levante - Legnano	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Legnano - Bra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTW
- GS Castanese
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.01.23	Castanese - Unione Sanremo	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Sestri Levante - Castanese	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Castanese - Bra	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Gozzano - Castanese	2:2 ✺
11.01.23	Stresa Vergante - Castanese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTL

Legnano - Castanese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide