Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 23

Date: 25 January 2023, Wednesday


	Sestri Levante		Castanese

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	2.15	3.6	2.8
	2.05	3.61	2.93
	2.12	3.3	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.65)	3.45 ↑ (3.34)	3 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
43.7%

Draw
26.2%

Castanese
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

21.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestri Levante's form might have worsened.

Castanese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castanese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanese than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Sestri Levante - Castanese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).

Recent matches Sestri Levante is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castanese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sestri Levante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sestri Levante is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.01.23	Pinerolo - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Sestri Levante - Legnano	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Borgosesia - Sestri Levante	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Sestri Levante - Bra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLW
- GS Castanese
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.01.23	Castanese - Bra	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Gozzano - Castanese	2:2 ✺
11.01.23	Stresa Vergante - Castanese	2:1 ✺
21.12.22	Castanese - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Castanese - Vado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
21.09.22	Castanese - Sestri Levante	1:3

Sestri Levante - Castanese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide