Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Leicesterford City		Baroka

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Leicesterford City
34.7%

Draw
31.2%

Baroka
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicesterford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicesterford City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Leicesterford City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baroka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicesterford City
South African First Division
08.11.25	Kruger United - Leicesterford City	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leicesterford City - Milford	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	University of Pretoria - Leicesterford City	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Leicesterford City - Highbury	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Cape Town City - Leicesterford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTLWW
- Baroka FC
South African First Division
09.11.25	Baroka - Lerumo Lions	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Baroka - Cape Town City	3:1 ✺
28.10.25	Upington City - Baroka	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Hungry Lions - Baroka	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Baroka - University of Pretoria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Leicesterford City - Baroka