The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leiknir Reykjavík 26.7%
Draw 23.2%
Njarðvík 50.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
25.6%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
25.6%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiknir Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Njarðvík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Njarðvík's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Njarðvík, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Leiknir Reykjavík - Njarðvík Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leiknir R will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Njarðvík will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Njarðvík will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Olafsson O. (G) 6. Arnason A. (C) 3. Bogdanovic B. 7. Burknason B. 19. Hardarson A. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 55. Kjartansson A. 16. Petursson V. 29. Stefansson G. 9. Tjorvason J. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
1. Smit G. (G) 7. Bjarkason B. 9. Diouck O. 8. Fernandes L. 6. Hjorleifsson A. 26. Ingason H. 10. Johannsson V. 13. Lima Santos F. M. 5. Magnusson A. 23. Sigurbjornsson E. (C) 66. Vidarsson V.
Substitutes
33. Agustsson A. 17. Arnarson A. 12. Gorski J. (G) 20. Gunnarsson D. 80. Gurung K. 25. Helgason D. 30. Kjartansson A.
18. Bjornsson B. 16. Gudmundsson H. 11. Gudnason F. 3. Markusson S. 31. Reinhardsson D. (G) 22. Stefansson S. 17. Thasaphong S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Hlifarsson K. S. ⚽,
31', Hlifarsson K. S. 🟨,
44', Vladisavljevic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ingason H. ↓, Stefansson S. ↑,
50', Sigurbjornsson E. ↓, Markusson S. ↑,
54', Magnusson A. 🟨,
58', Arnason A. 🟨,
70', Bjarkason B. ↓, Gudnason F. ↑,
75', Johannsson V. ↓, Thasaphong S. ↑,
75', Diouck O. ↓, Gudmundsson H. ↑,
85', Burknason B. ↓, Gurung K. ↑,
85', Hlifarsson K. S. ↓, Arnarson A. ↑,
87', Arnason A. 🟥,
90+1', Burknason B. ↓, Gunnarsson D. ↑,
90+6', Bogdanovic B. ↓, Agustsson A. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 0, Hardarson A. ⚽, Gunnarsson D. (A),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Njarðvík is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiknir R won 0.
Leiknir R has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Njarðvík is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Njarðvík will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leiknir R won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Leiknir R won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Leiknir Reykjavík - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.