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Current Win Probability
Leiknir Reykjavík 41%
Draw 25.6%
Selfoss 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
23.7%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
22.9%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiknir Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiknir Reykjavík's form might have worsened.
Selfoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Selfoss's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiknir Reykjavík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Selfoss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leiknir Reykjavík - Selfoss Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Olafsson O. (G) 17. Arnarson A. 8. Bjornsson S. 44. Einarsson A. 20. Gunnarsson D. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 19. Hardarson A. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 22. Jonsson T. 55. Kjartansson A. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
1. Blakala R. (G) 4. Berntsson A. 9. Birgisson A. (C) 22. Bodvarsson J. 21. Brynjolfsson F. 6. Einarsson D. 77. Einarsson E. 10. Gil N. 2. Sigurdsson I. 32. Vokes A. 7. Willard H.
Substitutes
11. Agustsson G. 7. Arnason R. 3. Bogdanovic B. 23. Brynjarsson A. 14. Jonsson D. 12. Petursson H. (G) 10. Veseli S.
17. Bergsson B. 25. Hardarson S. 23. Heidarsson E. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 11. Sanabria A. 28. Sverrisson E. 8. Tanke
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Hlifarsson K. S. ⚽,
38', Bjornsson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Gil N. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Jonsson T. ⚽,
60', Gunnarsson D. ↓, Brynjarsson A. ↑,
60', Bjornsson S. ↓, Jonsson D. ↑,
67', Willard H. ↓, Tanke ↑,
67', Gil N. ↓, Heidarsson E. ↑,
67', Einarsson E. ↓, Sverrisson E. ↑,
68', 🟨,
79', Vokes A. ↓, Bergsson B. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiknir R won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Selfoss may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leiknir R won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Leiknir R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Watch
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Olafsson O. (G) 
Vladisavljevic D. 
Blakala R. (G) 
Berntsson A. 
Gil N. 
Willard H. 
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