The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Selfoss 18%
Draw 19.5%
Thor Akureyri 62.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
22.6%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
22.1%
55.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Selfoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Selfoss's form might have worsened.
Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thor Akureyri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Selfoss - Thor Akureyri Predictions
Users Predictions:
Thor Akureyri will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thor Akureyri will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Blakala R. (G) 4. Berntsson A. 9. Birgisson A. 22. Bodvarsson J. 21. Brynjolfsson F. 77. Einarsson E. 10. Gil N. 2. Sigurdsson I. 3. Sveinsson R. (C) 32. Vokes A. 7. Willard H.
1. Stefansson A. (C) 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 3. Guardia J. 37. Gunnarsson S. 8. Halldorsson E. 25. Jakobsen C. 15. Kristjansson K. 20. Ottosson V. 19. Ragnarsson R. 9. Victor R.
Substitutes
6. Einarsson D. 25. Hardarson S. 23. Heidarsson E. 18. Josefsson D. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 11. Sanabria A. 8. Tanke
2. Arnarsson A. 17. Gislason F. 18. Ingason S. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 4. Runarsson H. 27. Sindrason A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 🟨,
14', Victor R. 🟨,
28', Sveinsson R. 🟨,
36', Berntsson A. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Balde I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', Ragnarsson R. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Birgisson A. ⚽, Vokes A. (A),
58', 2 - 1, Willard H. ⚽,
62', Ottosson V. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
63', Bayiha C. ↓, Arnarsson A. ↑,
65', Sigurdsson I. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Gunnarsson S. ⚽,
68', Bodvarsson J. 🟨,
71', Einarsson E. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
79', Halldorsson E. ↓, Gislason F. ↑,
81', Gil N. 🟨,
86', Brynjolfsson F. ↓, Heidarsson E. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Vokes A. ⚽,
90+6', Willard H. ↓, Tanke ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selfoss won 1.
Recent form of Selfoss has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Thor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Thor is seen as the favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Selfoss won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Selfoss won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.8:2.7).
Watch
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Blakala R. (G) 
Berntsson A. 
Birgisson A. 
Gil N. 
Willard H. 
Balde I. 
Bayiha C. 
Jakobsen C. 
Victor R. 
Lalic F. (G) 
