The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leioa 61.1%
Draw 24.9%
Aurrerá de Vitoria 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
29.1%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
27.9%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leioa's performance.
Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aurrerá de Vitoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aurrerá de Vitoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leioa - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Leioa might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.