Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Championship Group - Round 8

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Leiria U19		Famalicão U19

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.4	2.08
	2.95	3.45	2.16
	2.95	3.55	2.12
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.03	3.86	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.42)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	2.12 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria U19
30.8%

Draw
26.2%

Famalicão U19
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

24.9%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiria U19's form might have worsened.

Famalicão U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Famalicão U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U19 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiria U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão U19 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Famalicão U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leiria U19 - Famalicão U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Cruz T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Goncalves M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Famalicão U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leiria U19 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leiria U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiria U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
28.03.26	Santa Clara U19 - Leiria U19	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Gil Vicente U19 - Leiria U19	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Leiria U19 - Benfica U19	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Porto U19 - Leiria U19	5:0 ✺
22.02.26	Rio Ave U19 - Leiria U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLL
- Famalicão U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
14.03.26	Benfica U19 - Famalicão U19	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Famalicão U19 - Porto U19	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Rio Ave U19 - Famalicão U19	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Famalicão U19 - Santa Clara U19	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Famalicão U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
24.01.26	Famalicão U19 - Leiria U19	0:3

Leiria U19 - Famalicão U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide