Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday


	Lemense FC		Grêmio Prudente

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.3
	2.83	3.24	2.3
	2.7	3.35	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.32)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.31 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lemense FC
33.4%

Draw
27.4%

Grêmio Prudente
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lemense FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lemense FC's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Prudente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lemense FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Prudente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lemense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
17.02.24	Marília - Lemense FC	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Lemense FC - Desportivo Brasil	1:3 ✺
07.02.24	União Suzano - Lemense FC	1:4 ✺
31.01.24	São Caetano - Lemense FC	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Lemense FC - Red Bull Bragantino II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWWT
- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
10.02.24	Bandeirante - Grêmio Prudente	3:2 ✺
07.02.24	Grêmio Prudente - Sertãozinho	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	EC São Bernardo - Grêmio Prudente	3:1 ✺
24.01.24	Votuporanguense - Grêmio Prudente	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
30.09.23	São José-SP - Grêmio Prudente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL

Lemense FC - Grêmio Prudente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide