Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 10

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	São Caetano		Lemense FC

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	2.82
	2.31	2.85	3.11
	2.36	2.9	3.08
	2.4	2.63	3
	2.33	2.84	3.12
	2.48	2.98	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.48)	2.85 ↓ (2.98)	2.99 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
37.9%

Draw
31.8%

Lemense FC
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lemense FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

São Caetano - Lemense FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
78', 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, São Caetano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, São Caetano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
07.03.26	Taquaritinga - São Caetano	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	São Caetano - Comercial SP	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Araçatuba - São Caetano	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	São Caetano - ECUS	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	São Caetano - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTL
- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
07.03.26	Lemense FC - Colorado Caieiras	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Lemense FC - Penapolense	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Comercial SP - Lemense FC	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Nacional SP - Lemense FC	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lemense FC - Taquaritinga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
31.01.24	São Caetano - Lemense FC	1:2
Brazilian Copa Paulista
15.10.21	Lemense FC - São Caetano	4:0
24.09.21	São Caetano - Lemense FC	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.20	São Caetano - Lemense FC	2:1

São Caetano - Lemense FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide