Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Lenense |
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Avilés Stadium |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.3 |
2.98 |
2.98 |
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 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.95 |
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2.46 |
2.92 |
2.95 |
 Watch |
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2.45 |
2.88 |
2.8 |
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2.53 |
3.1 |
2.84 |
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2.45 |
2.85 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.22) |
2.94 ↓
(3.15) |
2.9 ↓
(3.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lenense
37.4% | Draw
31.1% | Avilés Stadium
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Avilés Stadium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (-3.1%)Lenense - Avilés Stadium Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).The current form of both teams is below expectations. Lenense might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Aviles Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Avilés Stadium - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 | | | 28.09.25 | Avilés Stadium - Lenense | 1:1 | | 16.02.25 | Lenense - Avilés Stadium | 1:2 | | 06.10.24 | Avilés Stadium - Lenense | 0:2 | | 17.12.23 | Lenense - Avilés Stadium | 0:0 |
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