Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Llanes		Lenense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.45	5.5
	1.58	3.68	5.47
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.53	3.64	5.78
	1.53	3.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.55)	3.59 ↑ (3.57)	5.52 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanes
58.4%

Draw
25.2%

Lenense
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.3%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

19.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Llanes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llanes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llanes - Lenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Llanes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lenense has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Llanes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Llanes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Llanes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Llanes	5	0	3	2	6:12	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Llanes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Llanes - San Martín	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Covadonga - Llanes	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Llanes - Avilés Stadium	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Llanera - Llanes	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Llanes - Real Titánico	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLW
- SD Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Lenense	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Lenense - LEntregu	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Colunga - Lenense	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Lenense - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Ceares - Lenense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
07.09.25	Lenense - Llanes	2:1
14.01.24	Lenense - Llanes	2:1
24.04.22	Llanes - Lenense	0:0
12.12.21	Lenense - Llanes	0:2

Llanes - Lenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide