Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Lenense		Praviano

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.92	2.08
	3.53	2.91	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lenense
25.9%

Draw
31%

Praviano
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

29.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.8%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Praviano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (-1%)

Lenense - Praviano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 2.

Lenense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Praviano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Lenense has had a series of away games.

Praviano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.10.25	Tuilla - Lenense	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	San Martín - Lenense	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Lenense - Covadonga	1:4 ✺
28.09.25	Avilés Stadium - Lenense	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Real Titánico - Lenense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT
- CD Praviano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.10.25	Praviano - San Martín	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Covadonga - Praviano	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Praviano - Avilés Stadium	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Llanera - Praviano	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Praviano - Real Titánico	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
02.02.25	Lenense - Praviano	1:0
14.04.24	Praviano - Lenense	2:0
26.11.23	Lenense - Praviano	1:2
09.04.22	Lenense - Praviano	3:1
28.11.21	Praviano - Lenense	4:0
21.02.21	Praviano - Lenense	0:1
15.12.19	Lenense - Praviano	3:3

Lenense - Praviano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide